Writing

Earlier essays on Chinese political economy and foreign policy, written with Jonathan Formella.

• A Forecast for China — on the middle income trap, reform under Xi, and why predictions of a Thucydides trap are misplaced. December 2015.
• Obstacles to PRC Hegemony in Asia and the World — on the limits of Chinese regional power, from Uighur separatism and One Belt, One Road to the competing pull of the TPP. December 2015.